Tunisia’s 2019 Elections: Presidential Plebiscite and Governmental Uncertainty

Profile picture for user Yasmine Akrimi Submitted by Yasmine Akrimi
Position: North Africa Analyst on Thu, 11/07/2019 - 14:30

Tunisia’s 2019 legislative and presidential elections have resulted in contradictory outcomes. The historical support gathered by president-elect Kais Saied contrasts with a highly fragmented newly-elected parliament, rendering the formation of a government a complicated and lengthy task.

Tunisia’s 2019 Presidential and Parliamentary Elections: An Anti-Establishment Ballot and a Crumbled Political Landscape

Profile picture for user Yasmine Akrimi Submitted by Yasmine Akrimi
Position: North Africa Analyst on Fri, 10/11/2019 - 15:59

On the night of the 15th of September, the results of the first round of the second post-2011 presidential elections in Tunisia started to emerge. On the 6th of October, Tunisians voted to elect a new parliament. Awaiting the second round of presidential elections taking place on the 13th of October, this paper will attempt a primary analysis of the profound changes the latest ballots’ results will have in the country’s political scene and its consequences on Tunisia’s upcoming five years.

Sudan: Relating Identity Politics and Cyclical Violence

Profile picture for user Ben Lowings Submitted by Ben Lowings
Position: Political Analyst on Wed, 08/14/2019 - 12:26

At A Glance:

Following months of protests since al-Bashir’s removal from power, there has been some semblance of hope in Sudan following the signing of a power-sharing agreement in July 2019 between the leaders of the pro-democracy movement and the transitional military council, the latter running the country in the absence of a new President. However, a key missing element of the agreement was how to account for the violence that marred the protest period.

The Tunisian Democratic Transition: A Critically Threatened Process

Profile picture for user Yasmine Akrimi Submitted by Yasmine Akrimi
Position: North Africa Analyst on Wed, 06/12/2019 - 11:17

At a Glance:

The ‘good student’ of the Arab Spring is facing serious issues that are severely hampering its democratization process. Disengagement from public affairs is increasing as living conditions are worsening and political representatives fail to offer viable solutions. As old authoritarian practices persist, figures of Ben Ali’s era have resurfaced and are quickly gaining legitimacy on the political scene.

Regionalism in North Africa: the Arab Maghreb Union in 2019

Profile picture for user May Barth Submitted by May Barth on Fri, 06/07/2019 - 11:01

On the occasion of the thirtieth anniversary of the Arab Maghreb Union (AMU), this contribution discusses the state of play since its creation. This desire is all the more motivated by the fact that many events have taken place since the beginning of year 2019. On one hand, set aside at the signing of the Marrakech Treaty, the conflict over the Western Sahara is one of the situations that makes the AMU inoperable.

Libya: Prior Warnings, International Inaction, and the Battle for Tripoli

Profile picture for user Ben Lowings Submitted by Ben Lowings
Position: Political Analyst on Mon, 06/03/2019 - 16:21

With the recent escalation in violence between militias supporting the Tripoli government, and the forces of Khalifa Haftar, there is cause to revisit our previous publication "Libya: The Need for a New International Approach, " and assess what, if anything, has truly changed in Libya.

 

Sudan: Economy and Military in the Fall of Bashir

Profile picture for user Ben Lowings Submitted by Ben Lowings
Position: Political Analyst on Thu, 04/11/2019 - 16:36

After thirty years in power, President Omar al-Bashir has been forced from office in Sudan. The announcement by the Sudanese military came following weeks of public demonstrations, which have led to sometimes violent repression.  This paper explores some of the key dynamics of the ongoing situation in Sudan.